Hanging the curtains back up

There were not a lot of successful female writers and academics in the 1970’s. Maybe I underestimate how many there were, but obviously they would have been in the minority. I’m reading a chapter on the anthropologist Mary Douglas who somehow combined raising three children with remaining active in academia. I read a few pages while helping at the Cub Scout camping trip.

In one of her books, Douglas added an apology for professional duties eclipsing domestic ones: ‘All our things have fallen into neglect while I have been writing, floors unpolished, curtains falling off hooks. I am grateful to my family for their patience.’

page 130 of The Slain God by Timothy Larsen

It is irksome to hear this woman apologizing for working
what is essentially two jobs and performing so well at each one. (I wouldn’t want
to put anyone off reading Larsen, who admires her very much.)

I had planned to do this a year ago, but then I ended up
writing papers on artificial intelligence and doing a bunch of related speaking
engagements. (I love it – anyone who wants a speaker on ChatGPT should invite
me out.) Anyway, I’m going to try to do the equivalent of fixing the
“curtains falling off hooks.” The curtains really do fall down. You
could have a well-functioning household and drawers full of clothes that fit
your children… and then if someone is not engaged in constant warfare… it
will all fall apart in about 6 months.



Social Media, Mental Health, and Young People

What’s the connection between social media use and mental health, especially among young people? You’ve probably heard a lot about this recently, in the media, by politicians, and among friends chatting about their kids. Lots of assertions are made, but there is also a bit of research on this topic. As someone who frequently uses social media myself, as well as a parent of young children, and a teacher that works every week with young college students, I am particularly interested in this topic.

Jonathan Haidt and various co-authors have been trying to catalog all the research on the topic and figure out if there is a connection between the decline in teenage mental health and the rise of social media use. Haidt also has a new book on this topic, as well as the decline of “free play” among kids, which I have not yet read but I’ve looked through his documents that contain all of the underlying and summaries of the research he is citing. I’ll read the book soon, as I’m certainly part of the intended audience (see the last sentence of the above paragraph). And while this research is very much outside of my area of expertise, my training as an economist has taught me how to read academic papers and to be convinced by evidence, so once again I’m very much the intended audience on this score as well.

Please read this post as my attempt to understand the evidence and start to form conclusions and/or critique what Haidt is saying. It’s a work in progress, and I’ll write more as I read and think more about it.

Continue reading

It’s Not Too Late to Get Your Eclipse Glasses for the April 8 Solar Eclipse

Surely you have heard by now that a solar eclipse is coming. As the April 8 date approaches, the media/social media coverage will likely rise to a roar. I think we all know that the experience of being in the path of a total solar eclipse is eerie and memorable – – birds and insects can fall silent as night-like darkness falls, and a noticeable chill may be felt in the air.

Maps abound of the eclipse path across North America. For the U.S.,  it starts in Texas around 1:30 Central time, traverses southern Indiana and northern Ohio around 3:10 Eastern and ends in northern Maine about 3:30. Here is a snip I took from this NASA map, where I zoomed in the Midwest/Northeast section, and traced in red the lines of 90% totality:

If you really want the 100% experience, and if you want it to last the full four minutes, you must be in a relatively narrow strip. And if you want to have good chance of not having clouds obscure the fun, you may need to fly to central Texas. Buffalo, New York is in the middle of the eclipse path, but it is a notoriously overcast place.

But lots of folks, including residents of Chicago, Toronto, and the Boston-Washington corridor, live within the zone of (nearly) 90% totality, where you can see the moon sliding across most of the sun’s disk over the course of a few minutes, and experience significant darkening. The next solar eclipse to touch the U.S. will not be until 2044, and that will be barely visible from three less-populated states, Montana, North Dakota, and South Dakota.

So, I suggest you take the opportunity to enjoy this one to the max. This absolutely entails using special glasses with filters designed for safe viewing of the sun. Do not even think of looking at the sun without such glasses, and be alert lest children pick up the wrong cues and try to look at the sun.

The good news is that eclipse glasses are still available. I ordered some from Amazon a couple days ago that arrived two days later, and I saw them for sale in Lowe’s today. I got some extra to share with random friends and strangers. This can be a great chance to interact with neighbors and children.

The price per pair of glasses varies a lot, so do comparison shop.  I look for ones that say “CE and ISO Certified” like these. Be safe and have fun!

Let parents pay to take kids out of school

Elementary school kids can miss a day of school. If they are doing something wholesome and constructive on their day off, no one would claim that it hurts the child who is doing the alternate activity.

Does it hurt other people? There is an ungated section of this Matt Yglesias post concluding that when rich people pull their kids out of school it “… ultimately harms less-privileged children.” For now, assume that is true. We could internalize the externality, like surge pricing on toll roads. Let parents pay a fine to take their kids out of school. The fine would fund programs that help everyone. Let parents pay back into the public good. Charge $25/day which could go toward buying classroom supplies for the inconvenienced teacher.

This flexibility might lead to richer families keeping their kids in conventional schools, which seems like a good thing. No one would have to pay the fine. There is and would still be a system for excusing absences due to unavoidable things like surgery.

Requiring a doctor’s note for excused absences is already a tax. Requiring a parent to miss half a day of work to go take a child to the doctor is more punishing than paying a $25 fine, for many families.

The fine could even increase with the number of missed days. Only super rich families would be able to afford to take 2 children on a 3-week trip. I wouldn’t be able to afford it. But I wouldn’t mind if our school generated revenue off of those who can. Those people would probably donate a new playground in exchange for a plaque.

Is another example where it would be reasonable to charge people to not use something? In a way, insurance companies try to fine people for not using the gym. Running with this example, paid private schools could easily call this a tuition reimbursement for high attendance. Unfortunately, I think it would be politically impossible to implement in public schools.

How This Economist Cares for a Baby

I have four children, and all them were or are babies. As an economist, I know that becoming more productive includes contributions to labor, capital, and technology. Caring for and pacifying babies is no different. Here are some of my methods for pacifying and employing babies who are 4-18 months old.

Own a pacifier. You don’t need to use it or even force it into your baby’s mouth. But just have it around. Paul Romer said that we learn and innovate by interacting with capital. So, let’s get the capital.

Employ your baby’s labor. Children as small as 2 or 3 can go get the eggs from the hen house. But what about a smaller baby? Of course we need to stimulate, feed, water, change, and rest the baby. But sometimes, you just need them to be quiet. What to do? Babies respond to Pavlovian stimulus at a very early age. If they’re crying or even just somewhat bored, then place the pacifier in their hand and say, in a very low but normal voice, ‘pacifier’. Babies will instinctively put the pacifier in their mouth. If you have it clipped on, then eventually, they’ll be able to find it when they need it. Developing physical human capital takes work experience and time. I always insist that my older children place the pacifier in the baby’s hand rather than the baby’s mouth. Greater human capital will yield productivity gains.

There came a point when my baby would awaken at night. I wouldn’t even get out of bed. I’d just calmly, and dispassionately say ‘pacifier’. And our baby would pop the pacifier in their own mouth. Employ your baby’s labor. Innovation happens when you interact with capital.

In the same vein, I’d balance the baby bottle on my child’s front side, and place their hands on it. Next thing I knew, my baby was holding their own bottle earlier than the internet said that I should expect them to. Those little hands aren’t useless. They’re low marginal product labor just waiting to be employed. Given that home production is a team effort and labors have interaction effects, that small marginal product for the baby frees your labor to have a larger marginal product for the household. Take advantage of interaction effects, specialization, and comparative advantage.

How do you produce sleep in a baby? Let’s examine the production function. It typically includes: warmth, a clean diaper, darkness, a full belly, maybe some motion, and a lack of disruptive noise. Once the baby is asleep, you really only need the warmth, darkness, and peaceful noise. Leverage your capital to make yourself more productive. Capital may not be able to replace you in helping your baby fall asleep. But it can replace you to help keep them asleep. Repurpose your current stock of capital. If only there was a warm, dark, white noise chamber in your house already. There is. It’s called a bathroom. Get your infant to fall asleep, then put them in the dark bathroom with the fan on. Now you can grade your papers, clean the house, or write your articles.

Addendum on diaper changing:

When it comes to changing a diaper, you should act like you have a low discount rate. That is, you should bear the cost of preparing a changing space so that your future self is thankful. This means preparing the changing pad, opening the new diaper, unfolding the wipes, preparing for diaper disposal, and preparing any new clothes. This makes the diaper changing process much easier and mitigates stochastic costs like leaks, mid-change accidents, etc. Further, your MPL is lower when you have to mind a baby who’s on an elevated surface. Employ your labor when it’s more productive – before you lay them down.

Do you have a baby who fights or cries during diaper changes? Take a hint from the Fed and engage in forward guidance. Did you know that if you blow in a baby’s face, that they instinctively close their eyes and mouth and stop flailing? Early on this can act as a reset and interrupt crying. As a baby gets older, they’ll learn to anticipate the blown air. But only if you build your reputation.

When my 12 month old would start to fight, I’d audibly inhale. My baby would immediately stop fighting and clothes her eyes and mouth, and stop flailing in preparation of me blowing in her face. That’s called forward guidance. Building a reputation of action means that signaling action is often just as good as the act itself. But be careful, if you always blow in their face, they grow accustomed to it due to expectations augmented responses. So, I introduce stochastic bluffs wherein I audibly inhale, but then neglect to blow in their face. Stimulus only works repeatedly if you can violate their expectations.

Stay tuned for more economist parenting tips.

Pistol Squats Complete the Home Workout

A good strength workout includes a push, a pull, and legs. When I can get to the gym I like to alternate bench press and incline press for the push; rows and pulldowns for the pull; and squats and deadlifts for the legs. But with a baby to take care of at home, its been hard to find time for the gym. Between driving, waiting for equipment, and the actual lifts, the gym takes an hour. Doing a similar workout at home can take just 10 minutes, and has the advantage that you can watch a baby while doing it.

But the big challenge with home workouts was finding a good leg exercise. Pushes are easy: just do pushups. Pulls are pretty easy: just buy a $15 pullup bar to hang over a door. But how to do a good leg workout without costly barbells and plates that take up lots of space? Enter the pistol squat.

The idea is simply to start from a stand and lower yourself down almost to the ground on a single leg, then come back up on one leg, with the other leg out front for balance:

Source: Snapshot from this video, which shows how to do the standard pistol plus many variations

I find this to be about as difficult as doing a traditional two-legged barbell squat with 1x bodyweight on the bar. The traditional squat has two legs lifting 2x bodyweight (your body itself, plus 1x bodyweight on the bar); the pistol squat has one leg lifting 1x bodyweight (just your body itself), which is about equal. This was perfect for me because I was doing about 3 sets of 5 reps of squats with 1x bodyweight on the bar, so I just do the same number of pistol squats. But what if you’re not exactly at that weight?

Going lighter is easy– just put one hand on something sturdy nearby like a table and lean on it until it takes enough of your weight that you can do the squat. This helps with balance too if that is an issue. Going heavier is harder, but you could carry something heavy in your hands, turn the rise into more of an explosive jump, or just do more reps.

I’d still rather be at the gym, but the complete home workout seems like a good application of the Pareto Principle– you get most of the benefits of the gym while paying only a small fraction of its time and money costs.

Books the 8-year-old likes

One of my personal interests is encouraging my kids to read. This is a list of books that my 8-year-old son really likes.

If you count Calvin and Hobbes as reading (it’s a comic book), then it is his first love and continues to be a favorite.  

Calvin and Hobbes (Volume 1) Paperback

The Calvin and Hobbes Lazy Sunday Book (Volume 4)

These next two are STEM-friendly goofy books with lots of pictures to break up the text. Currently, if he has to do independent reading time, these are first choices.

Big Bangs and Black Holes: A Graphic Novel Guide to the Universe

The 39-Story Treehouse

These chapter books are prime read-aloud choices for us to read to him that hold his interest.

The Phantom Tollbooth

The Silver Chair

Ender’s Game – Still incredible. Still feels futuristic, although the emphasis on “smart desks” instead of “smart phones” is funny. It was published in 1985.

The Great Brain

Bonus, for 5-year-olds:

The 5-year-old picked out “Woodpecker Wants a Waffle” at our local library and has been delighted by it. It’s a funny picture book that holds up to re-reads. See if your library has it. Public libraries are especially great for 5-year-olds who are ready to explore beyond the Dr. Suess classics at home but also not able to commit to any books worth buying.

Intelligence for School Closing

I don’t have much time to write this week because I lost so many work hours to schools closing for “weather.”

Tyler has been saying that we should welcome more intelligence (in the form of LLMs – I’m not getting any smarter). What would we want intelligence for? How about reducing the error rate on school closing?

First, I will recognize that things are already getting better due to computers. The internet and texting and radar help. Compared to when I was a child in New Jersey, it’s more efficient to text all the parents the night before, as opposed to having people get up at 6am to scan the radio for news. Weather forecasting has presumably gotten better.

Now my rant: Right around what was already a three-day official weekend, school was closed three times. Even my kids were irate when that last day was announced. In my opinion, only one of those closures was justified for extreme weather.

There is a lot of dumb in a city. People complain about routine processes being suboptimal. It would be great if we humans could figure out ways to apply more intelligence to these local problems and make less mistakes.

This is a joke for any readers in cold climates. My Alabama kids thought it was fun to collect icicles because they have almost never seen them before.

Cal Newport on Smartphones for Kids

EP. 246: KIDS AND PHONES

Are smartphones bad for kids? Cal walks through the data on this question, including how researchers came to be worried, their findings, critiques of their findings, and where we are today. He then gives recommendations for how to think about technology when it comes to your kids.

In May of 2023, Cal Newport shared well-informed opinions about whether smartphones harm young people. In the first half of the podcast, he talks about depression and loneliness data.

Minute 30 of the podcast: Screentime harms teenagers because they inhibit the development of critical thinking skills. Deep critical thinking skills require training. Reading an analog book is better than screens (see my review of Tyler’s AI generative book and poastmodernism).

See my summary of Emily Oster on video games for kids. She does not clutch her pearls over violent video games. However, she is concerned about what activities get crowded out by screentime. She is especially worried about sleep, because on that topic the data are clear.

Minute 31, Call Newport: Tweens and teens scroll on their phones for too long instead of going to sleep. A 13-year-old boy with a smart phone will “be up until 4 in the morning.” A tween told him that middle school girls arrive at school too exhausted to function because they have been on their phones all night.

FYI, if you are the parent in an Apple device network, you can set time limits on the devices in your family. I filed this report about smart watches last year, incidentally in the same week as the release of Newport’s podcast episode.

EWED Recommends Gifts 2023

This is the 4th year in a row that the crew has put together some recommendations on products or books that we actually use, for your consideration in holiday gift buying. I’m going to put things into categories of Stuff for Adults, Kid’s Toys, Books for Adults, and Kid’s Books

Stuff for Adults (Men can be hard to shop for, so this might save Christmas!)

Scott says these scissors are amazing: “Fiskars 9 Inch Serrated Titanium Nitride Shop Shears”, available from Amazon here. Unlike some thick, heavy, or stubby heavy-duty shears, these have the feel of regular scissors, with fairly long, narrow blades. The handles are fairly substantial, and very comfortably contoured to the hand/thumb. The real magic is in the blades. They are sharp, with a very hard titanium nitride coating. Also, they have fine serrations in the cutting edge, that tend to grip the material in place as you are cutting. 

Zachary recommends 5 things that he really uses at home

#1: High Lumen Candelabra Bulbs (for lighting up rooms that require candelabra bulbs)

#2 Worm-Gear Clamp (It’s great for any project that needs a quick and secure solution. Probably would fit nicely in a giftwrapped box.)

#3 Hitch Rack (seems aimed at car trips with kids)

#4 Lawn-Mower Blade Sharpener (he says it’s worth it)

#5 Transplanting Spade (if you move plants in the yard, it’s worth it over a standard shovel)

The ever-practical Jeremy just wants to make sure you are Finding Deals on Food

Food makes great presents for adults. Just give me Doritos, thanks.

Kid’s Toys

A wonderful game that you might not already have is Protect the Penguin. It’s high-energy but much less work than something like Twister. I actually enjoy playing it, too.

I’ll re-up from last year that Spot It is incredible and fits in your coat pocket. Fun for all ages. Several versions of the game. Not everyone has to know how to read or add to play so good for events with lots of ages represented. LEGO sets are always fun. If you keep the difficulty level age-appropriate than your kid should be able to play independently for an hour. I’ll put up one link but of course there are many thousands to choose from that can be tailored to any interest. My son likes Minecraft-themed sets.

Books for Adults

If you want to see all the books we have read and reviewed, just click on the Books category or go to

https://economistwritingeveryday.com/category/books/

Not all of those posts are going to give you quick gift ideas, so if I had to pick out one from the last year it would be:

Secondhand: Travels in the New Global Garage Sale is a great book in my summer stack on fast fashion. I have always been interested in the combination problem-blessing of too much stuff. Adam Minter explains perfectly what many of us have been curious about.

You might have a relative who is very environmentally conscious or works hard to reuse and recycle. They might think it’s interesting to learn about the secondhand markets in America and beyond.

Kid’s Books

I’m reading The Hobbit aloud to my son right now and I highly recommend the experience. It’s going to take us months to get through it by reading a few pages at a time around bedtime.

Camp Out!: A Graphix Chapters Book (Bug Scouts #2) Funny graphic novel series about a group of friends in a scout troop. Probably especially fun for a kid who is in some kind of scouts program.  Calvin and Hobbes is another comic series that my kid genuinely looks forward to reading.

Joke books can lead to great conversations. If the kid wants to know why something is funny, you can end up talking for a long time about the complex world.

See what we recommended in previous years. We have always had a mix of kid and adult items.

EWED Recommends Gifts 2022

EWED Recommends Gifts 2021

EWED Recommends Gifts for 2020 Holidays