The US Homicide Rate in 2025 May Have Been the Lowest Ever

The following chart merges two data sources to create a long-run series on homicides in the US. Based on early estimates for 2025 from Jeff Asher, the homicide rate may be as low as 4.3 murders per 100,000 population. That would be the lowest since at least 1900, and possibly the lowest US homicide rate ever since the best evidence suggests it was even higher pre-1900. The current record low was 4.4 murders per 100,000, which the US saw in 1955, 1957, and 2014.

One thought on “The US Homicide Rate in 2025 May Have Been the Lowest Ever

  1. pleasantwerewolf391c13f0ce's avatar pleasantwerewolf391c13f0ce January 28, 2026 / 4:18 pm

    Not sure any national statistics can be trusted with this administration

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