Is this the year the world’s largest economics conference settles into its new normal? ASSA 2024 starts in San Antonio today.

Like most conferences, the Allied Social Science Association took a big hit during the pandemic. Unlike most other conferences, a big fraction of this hit appears to be permanent. Part of what made ASSA so popular was that it was the site of most 1st-round job interviews for economists, but the pandemic made this shift to remote interviews. The American Economic Association decided the job market was better that way, so they made the arrangement permanent.
This shrunk their conference by about half compared to pre-2020; overall I thought it was still fine last year, but that the transition creates a problem:
The big problem with attendance falling to 6k is that they’ve planned years worth of meetings with the assumption of 12k+ attendance. Getting one year further from Covid and dropping mask and vaccine mandates might help some, but the core issue is that 1st-round job interviews have gone remote and aren’t coming back. The best solution I can think of is raising the acceptance rate for papers, which in recent history has been well under 20%.
I suspect the AEA is starting to take my advice. Acceptance rates ticked up slightly in 2023 (from 7% to 9% for individual papers, and from 16% to 30% for complete sessions). They have yet to release full information on acceptance rates this year, but my own experience indicates that this summer they realized they had a problem. I got a rejection email in July that said:
We were able to accept less than one third of the more than 1,150 submissions for paper or poster sessions.
This was followed by something I’ve never seen from an economics conference before- a rejection of the rejection:
You have probably already received an email saying your paper which you submitted for the American Economic Association program at the meeting in San Antonio, TX in January 2024 was not accepted. However, the AEA has decided to select a few more papers for the poster session.
I am pleased to inform you that your paper entitled
Certificate of Need and Self-Employment
which you submitted for the American Economic Association program, has been selected to be part of the AEA’s poster session.
This sums up my relationship to the core of the profession nicely: I’m exactly on the margin of it. But this time, just barely on the right side of it, helping them fill up a newly-oversized hotel block.
The odds aren’t what they were in the mega-conference days before 2020, but I expect I’ll still see some of you in San Antonio.
